SES Research has released the results of their pre-Gomery poll:
Liberals: 40%
Conservatives: 28%
NDP: 15%
Bloc Quebecois: 12%
Greens: 4%
It is hard to know what to make of it without British Columbia broken out but a few things caught my eye. First of all it looks like the NDP are getting the squeeze. This is yet another poll that shows the NDP down in the polls and a second that shows them at 12% in Ontario. I continue to be skeptical of the Ontario number but it is looking like Jack Layton's tight-rope act has him crashing into the net.
Another interesting result is that Liberal support in Quebec is almost where it was on Election 2004. In other words the predicted (further) Quebec seat collapse may not materialize.
In Ontario the Liberal-Conservative gap is pretty much where it was on Election 2004 but they are both up at the expense of the NDP.
The polling numbers for Atlantic Canada are probably too small to be reliable as this poll has the Liberals up to 57% there.
I am curious to see their post-Gomery results but with NDP numbers this low I doubt they will joining up with the other Opposition parties anytime soon. That being said, another deal with the Liberals would be an even worse decision.
