The Liberals have given up on 45 of the 74 seats in Quebec. Kate posting at the Western Standard Shotgun
...In an e-mail mistakenly sent to some reporters, the Liberal Party divided the province's seats into three categories:
All 14 seats in eastern Quebec that are held by the Bloc and expected to remain in the Bloc's hands;
41 other safe ridings elsewhere in the province, including 21 Bloc strongholds and 10 Liberal seats;
20 "targeted ridings" that could go either way, including nine Bloc seats that are seen as being in play and 11 Liberal seats that could swing to the Bloc.
The 10 seats the Liberals feel certain of holding are in the Montreal area, including Westmount, Mount Royal and Liberal Leader Paul Martin's riding of LaSalle-Emard.
Its 11 shaky seats are mainly in the Montreal area and in western Quebec, including the ridings of Liberal ministers Pierre Pettigrew, Liza Frulla and Jean Lapierre.
If the Liberals keep all of their current ridings and win every one of the nine shaky Bloc ridings, that would bring their total to 30 seats.
There is no way the Liberals are going to 30 seats. They are going to lose somewhere between 5-10 seats lowering their total to the teens.
Furthermore, according to Daniel Lessard of Radio Canada (appearing on CBC Politics) there is a riding in Quebec where the Conservatives are in the lead my 2-points. It is being reported that the Conservatives have a chance to win in 2 or 3 ridings.
If they can pull off a couple of Quebec seats and sweep Alberta, they will be able to lay claim to being the "only National party".
