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Fear and Smear

Or Cheer and Oh Dear! ?

It all depends on your perspective I guess. I am sure there are some Tories saying Shut Up! to all this seat projection stuff and talk of a possible (if unlikely) Conservative Majority. It will take a lot of Liberals to sit on their hands for a majority to happen and headlines like these may make that less likely. Anyway, here are the good bits of the story (h/t NealeNews).

...The projections, which are calculated by running this week's Strategic Counsel poll of more than 3,500 Canadians through a mathematical formula, are that the Tories will win 152 seats on Jan. 23, followed by 74 for the Liberals, 60 for the Bloc and 21 for the NDP. There are 308 seats in the House, so a party needs 155 to form a majority.

"Is a majority possible? Absolutely. Is it probable? We don't know yet," said Allan Gregg, chairman of the Strategic Counsel.

...According to the formula, the regional seat breakdown is as follows:
British Columbia is on track to elect 26 Tories, six Liberals, three NDP MPs and an Independent.
All 28 ridings in Alberta will go to the Conservatives.
Manitoba and Saskatchewan are not expected to change, once again electing a combined 20 Conservatives, four Liberals and four NDP MPs.
The Greater Toronto Area will elect 35 Liberals, eight Conservatives and two NDP MPs while the rest of Ontario will elect 49 Conservatives, four Liberals and eight New Democrats.
Montreal will have 21 Bloc MPs and seven Liberals, while the rest of Quebec will elect 39 Bloc MPs and eight Conservatives.
Atlantic Canada will elect 15 Liberals, 13 Conservatives and four NDP MPs.
All three seats in the territories will go to the Liberals.

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