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I am not reporting on a poll

I'm reporting on a suspected poll. Oh that'll get you going!

According to Mike Duffy on Mike Duffy Live (where else?) there is a poll that will be published next week that shows the Conservatives are solidly into the 40's and approaching Mulroney circa 1984 territory. As some pundits mentioned there was a pre-election smell in the air last week.

How PM Harper could trigger an election without serious blowback is beyond me but at a minimum expect more of the hard-driving leader as long as he is being rewarded for it. I would caution that is wear off fairly quickly so it needs to balanced with some shiny-happiness (for lack of a better term).

Comments (11)

Greg:

I watched it too and I think Duffy was right when he said he though Harper will try to carry on and hope the opposition will get mad enough that they stop giving all party consent to bills etc. That way he can claim he is being blocked by the “evil” opposition and must go to the people for help. It might work too. Obviously, I hope not, but you never know.

cb:

For balance, the Star will probably come out with a poll showing the Tories in the single digits.

A nationwide poll does not mean a heck of a lot. For a majority, PM Harper needs either a significant breakthrough in Bloc-held Quebec, or 905/416, or both.

He also needs to remember what happened to former Ontario Prem. Peterson when you engage in too much “poll smoking”.

Greg:

If it is an SES poll, I will be worried. If it is a Strategic Counsel poll, I won’t be.

YEAH! Mulroney territory, indeed.

Could it be because both gentlemen knew how to keep promises???

I love it, I love it indeed.

Yeah, baby.

I think whatever the polls say, Harper can’t call an election before the fall without it being a big gamble, which doesn’t seem to be in his nature (although looking at the vote on Afghanistan this week, maybe it is…)

I watched Duffy last night, and literally Lawrence Martin, Bob Rae and some other guests made it sound like our country was on-route to doomsday.

I vote Liberal, but I don’t think our strategy of crying wolf at the Conservatives is going to get us anywhere. We’re much better off having our own policies and presenting an alternative.

Colin:

Once again Riley seperates himself from the likes of Cherniak, Mackenzie, et al, as a liberal with a functioning brain.

“Crying wolf” will almost certainly drive conservatives higher in the polls. Everyday I run into a former liberal supporter who is very happy with the job Harper is doing. Making it look easy is the phrase I hear most often.

Paul O:

There may well be a number of “blue Liberals” supporting the job Harper is doing, but that doesn’t mean that all of them would vote for a Conservative candidate in an election campaign. Let’s never confuse polling support with election results: they’re two very different things.

MrEd:

The Liberals, Block, and NDP are burying themselves with their reactions to a number of common sense votes… don’t think Tory bean counters aren’t keeping track of quotes in the press and votes in the house of commons. There’s more ammo to bury the Liberals, Block, and NDP in the last 100 days then before the election. The spin on the Afgan vote is a joke people will see through. “Voted against it on the principle of being forced into the vote with only 6 hours debate” PA-LEEEZE… Once the Child care $100 monthly check kicks in, the GST drops 1%, The real numbers which have now been posted regarding the buricratic waist associated with the gun registry, a real definition of what Kyoto means getting out there…i.e. buying credits for a Billion bucks from Costa Rica because Liberals did nothing to reduce green house gas emmisions, etc,…there will be no going back. Harpers doing what he said he would.

In regards to recent set backs the Tory’s faced in appointing a person named CEO of the year 2005 and Liberals, NDP and the Block stopping the appointment. With Harper deciding to cancel the position and not place another person forward it speaks volumes…that’s just Icing on the Cake. Here’s the spin I’d expect to hear…”We’ve tried to clean up gov’t, we’ve tried to work with the opposition, we’ve openned up appointments to review boards, and when we selected someone named as CEO of the year by his peers in 2005 and he was rejected by the opposition because of quotes taken out of context it was obvious that they would never accept anyone we tried to nominate. We concluded it was better to cancel the position rather then waist anymore time or tax payers money in a commety doomed to fail with out the co-operation of the house.”

The quotes used against this appointment we’re as is typical of Liberal/NDP, out of context when taken with the entirty of the text…but then we have all learned to expect this.

People that actually speak their mind are targeted more for what they don’t say, where Liberal and NDP Politicians typically never say anything and don’t give up any ammo to their opponent. although claiming parents who raise their kids without daycare might as well send them off to jail is going to be kinda hard to shake if “you know who” actually runs in the next election

But I guess I’m being delusional and ranting again….

Anonymous:

There should be a law requiring polling companies to release their complete methodology including the questionaire as it was presented to the surveyees. That would help reduce the abuse of push polls. I’m not suggesting this poll is one but polls have become a favorite tool of special interest groups to shape public opinion. Their abuse has, and continues, to harm our democracy because so many people are dumb lemmings.

Marilyn:

Riley Hennesey. Read your comments and have a question. Why are you a Liberal,an honest question,want to know your reasons for voting Liberal.

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