that another poll came out 'cause without it I have nothing to say right now. I know, bad blogger and all that but I have nothing at the moment...
Anyways the poll, via Decima (h/t NealeNews)
Conservatives: 36%
Liberals: 29%
New Democrats: 15%
It appears that the CPC support in Quebec is suffering (BQ: 41, CPC: 23, LIB: 19) and the NDP are loosing support in Ontario (LIB: 37, CPC: 36, NDP: 16)
At the end of the day this is a nothing had changed poll. Very similar to the election results and as time goes by any "Middle East Crisis" effect will have passed.
The other thing that needs to be said is the Decima is characterizing this as a "bounce back" poll since the CPC has recovered in a week from being in a dead-heat with the Liberals. There is another explanation of course - maybe Decima's last poll was wrong!

Comments (2)
When the election happens it will be driven by events. The most likely events to drive it will involve our security and safety. The voters will be weighing which party will keep them the safest. There is a lot of information to yet be made available from the arrests of the 17 in Toronto. Windsor is looking like a big problem.
In my mind who will keep us safe are the Conservatives who have not buried their heads in the sand and painted burqas on their butts.
But in Quebec where their MSM news and information is even more pathetic than in the ROC, the pacifist utopian nature of that province is a problem for us. Again the election will depend on events of the day and between now and then Harper needs to continue to demonstrate the calmness that he has so far.
I can’t decide if having no Liberal leader causes people to image the perfect leader there - will we improve as people see Bob Rae as leader and we get to remind voters that he almost drove Ontario into the ground with deficits and anti-business laws?
Posted by nomdenet | August 18, 2006 9:32 AM
Posted on August 18, 2006 09:32
Polls are becoming a cancer on our democracy, as far as I’m concerned. I’m not against polls. What I am against is how they unjustly and unfairly skew the ongoing political narrative in a democratic society.
For the past few weeks, people have been using that Decima poll as though it were the Bible of what was happening in this country politically. People automatically were assuming that Harper was in trouble because of his foreign policy posititions. It became the default assumption of political narrative.
And I can bet you that some people, including some prominent people in public policy and the media, will continue with the assumption that Harper’s foreign policy has cost him politically.
That Decima poll was conducted during the same time Strategic Counsel said Harper had a comfortable lead, and a few short days after Ipsos said Harper had a 60% approval rating.
Yet everyone kept using the Decima poll because it fit into what everyone thought was the predictable response to events in the Middle East and Afghanistan.
People, including the media, need to refraim from drive-by assumptions being fuelled by polls that even sometimes have their own agenda. Decima, after all, is being run by former a former Earnscliffe executive. Some might think that that would make him a Liberal hack. Yet, here we were using his poll as though it actually represented what Canadians thought about ongoing events.
Whatever.
Let’s stop democracy through polling, eh? It’s a cancer.
Posted by The Cyber Menace | August 18, 2006 12:50 PM
Posted on August 18, 2006 12:50