Kennedy could be in second place by tomorrow if his Ontario numbers keep coming in this strong. And that Rae and Ontario thing, oh yeah, that's real.
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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on October 1, 2006 4:51 PM.
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Comments (4)
Kennedy, Dion and Rae will be very close in the 2-4 spots, with the remaining (mail-in) QUE numbers giving an edge to Dion & Rae.
The Rae voters will go to Dion or Kennedy after Ballot #1. If alternance becomes a key issue with them, Kennedy has an edge. Rae - meaning his Power Corp. backers - may decide to cut a deal very quickly. Given the number of ex-Chretienites in his camp, advantage DION.
Iggy delegates will stick with him through Ballot #2, and then start dispersing. Ditto Dion & Kennedy delegates.
However, the automatic delegates could decide to vote en masse and give the edge to any one of them, including Ignatieff.
Volpe will not win or be a power broker. Like Dryden & Brison, his leadership campaign appears to have come to a dead end.
Posted by cb | October 1, 2006 6:31 PM
Posted on October 1, 2006 18:31
Leaderships are two things: they are about picking people than can win and they are back room dealing between power brokers.
they are NOT: popularity contests despite what many amateurs believe.
Posted by Real Conservative | October 1, 2006 6:31 PM
Posted on October 1, 2006 18:31
Tomorrow? Heck, he’s within 46 delegates of Rae right now. (603-557)
Give it an hour.
Very exciting to watch.
Posted by Ben (The Tiger in Exile) | October 1, 2006 6:48 PM
Posted on October 1, 2006 18:48
Or not. (796-675)
Posted by Ben (The Tiger in Exile) | October 1, 2006 11:05 PM
Posted on October 1, 2006 23:05