Apolitical Staples

In fact what it means is they are going down everywhere but “the West” (read Alberta), where they are going up.

Socialist Greg -

When you use the phrase “in fact” there is a subtle implication that what follows will be true. Which is why you should avoid using it in this case, as your statement is a deliberate distortion of what the poll actually says. In the Atlantic region, the poll shows a drop of 3% with a margin of error of 10%, i.e., not statistically meaningful. In Ontario, the poll shows a drop for the CPC of a single percentage point, with a MoE of 6.1%. Non-socialist Greg’s characterization of this poll is by far the more accurate in comparison to yours. His assessment is fair. Yours is, not surprisingly, disingenuous.

I note that the Quebec numbers add up to 101. Evidently there was a supplemental survey of corpses conducted. I would expect the dead vote to break toward the Liberals.

You neglect to mention that in Ontario, the Liberals are picking up NDP support (due in large part to Harper) and so the relative position of the parties has worsened for the CPC. Your analysis is based more on wishful thinking than anything else. Keep clapping and maybe Tinkerbell will live. By all means carry on with your present course. It will shorten Harper’s reign to mere months, rather than years.

The Ontario numbers would be a lot more useful if they separated out Toronto from the rest of the province. Any gains the Liberals get are largely in Toronto and it’s closest suburbs, thanks to the biased media here. The rest of the province is still more Conservative, from what I’ve seen. It’s possible for the Tories’ Ontario numbers to go down in absolute total popular vote numbers, but number of seats to still go up. Another Liberal vote in Toronto doesn’t mean a thing to seats.

Ditto in Quebec, where a recent regional CROP poll, with a lower MoE has the Tories up in the areas where they already have seats - Quebec City and the Beauce Region, and I think an area southeast of Montreal. Any Liberal gain will strictly be in Montreal. The soft nationalist vote is between the Conservatives and Bloc… the Libs are nowhere to be seen here.

Socialist Greg,

Come by when:

Bob “Dear God Not that Guy that was Vanquished for Destroying our Province” Rae, or

Iggy Political Stardust,

get nominated to lead the Libs.

Being a socialist, Greg, I’m sure you can appreciate the fondness folks have with non-specific, utopic generalizations (ie “liberal”) rather than nitty-gritty, factually anchored reality such as having to choose a leader.

It strikes me that the whole Canadian economy is geared towards dual income earning families in terms of affordability of a house, cost of goods etc. I am married with a child on the way. Why is the system biased against me if my wife is going to stay home and look after my child and I go to work? The whole system is geared towards two parents making $40,000 each which means I would have to make way more than $80,000 just to be level with these people.