From the very difficult to find Paul Wells (well he listed the numbers, but they are from Leger Marketing and h/t to PlaidShirt
...• National horse race numbers give the Harper Tories their strongest score since a week before the 2006 election, 38% to 31% for the Liberals, 14% for the NDP and 8% for the Bloc.
• Tory strength in Ontario too: 40% to 35% for Liberals.
• Quebec numbers are a very different story: while the Tories (24%) are only a point below their 2006 election score and have essentially erased their bad summer scores in Quebec, the Liberals are at 32%, which is three points higher than in another house's poll a week ago and that party's highest score in Quebec since the Adscam audit. The Bloc, at 31%, continues to slide. Remember when Chrétien took more popular vote and only two seats less than the Bloc in 2000? The bloc got 40% of the Quebec vote in that election. Me likey the 31%
And he reminds us that the ads have yet to be played in Quebec but they will start soon.
Update: Here is another link for the poll (h/t NationalNewswatch)
Comments (7)
Rogue poll alert. I looked at Leger’s last poll which had the parties CPC 35, Liberal 32, NDP 13, Bloc 8, Green 9. So, for this to work, since the NDP is up 1 and Liberals are down one, is for the CPC to have taken support from the Greens. That seems highly, highly unlikely.
http://legermarketing.com/documents/pol/070125ENG.pdf
Posted by Greg | February 9, 2007 9:28 AM
Posted on February 9, 2007 09:28
Or the Liberal Kyoto talk could be backfiring: sensible, reasonable people are afraid Dion means what he says, and move to the CPC, while uninformed lefties who believe in Kyoto are starting to think Dion is lying, so they go back to the NDP.
Posted by MarkCh | February 9, 2007 9:38 AM
Posted on February 9, 2007 09:38
I don’t believe in polls, unless I like the results … :>)
Nor does the Red Star nor the Canadian Press, the opening lines in the Star article today say:
“CANADIAN PRESS
MONTREAL – A recent poll suggests the Conservatives have a slight lead over the Liberals. The Leger Marketing survey gives the Tories 38 per cent support, the Liberals 31 per cent, the NDP 14 per cent and the Bloc Quebecois eight per cent.”
Got that? … “a slight lead” .. nothing serious going on here folks, only a 20% lead that puts the CPC within majority government territory, please keep moving along.
Posted by nomdenet | February 9, 2007 9:41 AM
Posted on February 9, 2007 09:41
Quebecers have very short memories, if this poll has any truth to it.
Posted by anonymous | February 9, 2007 10:28 AM
Posted on February 9, 2007 10:28
Forget Kyoto for a minute, this is undeniable proof that a SHAMELESS LEFTIST BIAS exists in the MSM, and has increased significantly in recent years. If left unchecked, the results could be catastrophic. Unbelievable. If a seven-point spread existed in the other direction, it would be front-page news for days. Talk about manipulation of the masses…..Goebbels would be blushing.
Posted by Raymond | February 9, 2007 10:49 AM
Posted on February 9, 2007 10:49
While you Cons wet your panties over every blip and burp…just remember the big picture….Harper once had a chance for a majority handed to him on a plate. And he blew it. Now he’ll never have that chance again. And as soon as the fighting begins again in Afghanistan…kaboom….it will be even worse…
Posted by Simon | February 9, 2007 11:31 AM
Posted on February 9, 2007 11:31
So, simon, it’s really about the Liberal commitments through 2007 in Afghanistan that will topple the CPC’s? Not a valid Liberal alternative?
Yes, I can believe that.
lance
Posted by Lance | February 9, 2007 12:53 PM
Posted on February 9, 2007 12:53