In this column Chantal Hebert expands on theme she brought up on the At Issue Panel (the link will work today only) last night. Stephane Dion has moved the Liberals to the left to try to consolidate the "progressive" vote. However,
...Dion's efforts have yet to make a significant dent in Bloc and NDP support.
At the same time, Harper has advanced the recasting of his government's message on two crucial fronts: the environment and the Afghan mission.
While it makes perfect political sense for the Liberals to want to cast as wide a progressive net as they can in the lead-up to an election, the risk was always that such a fishing expedition leads them adrift on the electoral mainstream.
If he sets his course too sharply to the left, Dion risks overshooting the centre, thus leaving it open for Harper to expand his coalition while the Liberals shrink theirs.
As Andrew Coyne alluded to on the panel (scratch that, develops in his post here) there is a reason why the Chretien campaigned on the left and governed on the right - their base was ~two-thirds from Ontario and a good chunk of this base resides in the centre/centre-right. As he has moved to the left these centrist Ontario voters looking to be leaving the Liberals for the Conservatives.
...Oh to be in Harper's shoes. When your biggest problem is how to engineer your own defeat in Parliament, you've got to be feeling good.

Comments (10)
About finding the center, and a message to socialist Greg, (since we can’t tell you on your blog) I commented here yesterday that I am just one of a huge number of the just right of center Canadians who are waiting for a reasonable, pragmatic approach to…ready, count it off…health care, environment, human rights, family taxation, help for the unfortunate… These polls are telling me exactly what’s going on. We in the center are doing the things you demand. Compact fluorescents, slowing down, turning the thermostat down. The answer is not government legislating carbon taxes or paying Kyoto credits. Wake up!! We get it. Put up or get out of the way! Wake up left. You are giving the game away! Get rid of your devotion to Kyoto, a paralysing devotion to universal free health care, universal child care (please, my neighbors hardly see their kids) and freeking minimum wages to get every person a microwave and popcorn to fill it. Come up with some real solutions that families with kids who deal with everyday budget and lifestyle problems can actually agree may work. Phew! Thanks for the rant and I hope the so-called progressives come up with some ideas or we’re in line for a decade or so of Mike Harr…er Stephen Harper. Not that there’s anything wrong with that (nudge, nudge, wink, wink)
Posted by tacopedro | March 2, 2007 9:28 AM
Posted on March 2, 2007 09:28
Chantal thinks that the main problem is in the poor delivery of the “progressive” ideas of Dion.
Let’s hope that she and the Red Star stay with that notion of poor delivery and don’t twig to the notion that it’s the “progressive” ideas themselves that are also a big problem.
Posted by nomdenet | March 2, 2007 10:17 AM
Posted on March 2, 2007 10:17
Dion is banking on Dippers and Greens surrendering their party’s to the Liberals, so as to stop a Harper majority.
Libs don’t think they need to fix what ails them, they just need more votes to get back power.
Once swallowed whole by the Libs, Dippers and Greens can kiss PR goodbye. Libs will never let the little fish out of their net.
Posted by wilson61 | March 2, 2007 10:29 AM
Posted on March 2, 2007 10:29
I especially liked the way she called Dion a troll :D
Posted by molarmauler | March 2, 2007 11:19 AM
Posted on March 2, 2007 11:19
The Liberals are in a corner. If they move to appear “green”, they look like hypocrites after their years in office. If they move to appear champions of the poor, they have their failed poverty promise to haunt them. And if they move to be socially conservative, they aren’t going to win many Conservatives over, since they already have a party they are comfortable with. There’s no wiggle room, and politics these days is about extremes, not moderation [unfortunately]. The Liberals have no way to go, because they’ve wasted their years in power doing what they said they wouldn’t, or not doing what they said they would.
Posted by saskboy | March 2, 2007 11:42 AM
Posted on March 2, 2007 11:42
wilson61 said: “Dion is banking on Dippers and Greens surrendering their party’s to the Liberals, so as to stop a Harper majority”
True. The Liberals are also trying to poach NDP women to fill its 33% female quota. This time I don’t think the NDP supporters will bite. True. The Liberals are also trying to poach NDP women to fill its 33% female quota. This time I don’t think the NDP supporters will bite. The Greens probably won’t bite either, as they are surging in the polls and have a good chance of electing an MP.
Posted by Tony | March 2, 2007 12:04 PM
Posted on March 2, 2007 12:04
Dion is an idiot.
With fear-mongering he made the environment the #1 issue for months and now he’s wondering why:
1) Lib support is dropping but the Greens and CPC are going up
( if people are told the #1 problem is the environment they’ll trust the naturally “green” party to handle it, or they’ll trust the people who are actually able to do something about it - the CPC government)
2) he wonders why none of the other issues he brings up is having any traction in the media or voters (hint: if you tell people the world is about to end they don’t really care if the nearly blind minister is spending thousands on limos)
Posted by Cool Blue | March 2, 2007 1:51 PM
Posted on March 2, 2007 13:51
Come up with some real solutions that families with kids who deal with everyday budget and lifestyle problems can actually agree may work.
tacopedro, the brains and the ability to deal with your family’s budget and lifestyle problems do not reside in the government. They reside in you and your family and in your neighbors the people with whom you do business. If you consider each of the problems you have, and consider whether the government is making it easier or more difficult to solve that problem, you will find that in nearly every situation the government is a hindrance and not an assistance to your happiness. Your free health care system wastes 75% or more of the money put into it on bureaucratic overhead, and a lot of what’s left is spent to treat gomers addicted to cigarettes, booze, cheeseburgers, etc. and on fraudsters with fake OHIP cards. Your public schools have almost no time to teach actual useful knowledge, because they are bent to the will of ivory-tower education “experts” and special-interest groups who know how to game the system but who know and care nothing about serving the public. The business development departments of your federal, provincial and municipal governments punish hardworking, honest, smart and successful businesspeople with taxes and reward lazy, stupid and dishonest businesspeople with subsidies. As for the arts and culture crowd … when was the last time you felt like going down to the museum to see a meat dress? If anyone from the government ever asks you for “real solutions” as to how they can help you, tell them to quit a get a real job.
Posted by Anonymous | March 3, 2007 12:32 AM
Posted on March 3, 2007 00:32
She had some very interesting things to say on CBC radio today.
In a nutshell, that we are entering a conservative era. If the Liberals are smarter than they appear to be (and I hope so), then they should try and avoid an election this spring.
Its looking increasingly likely that Harper could win agian in a big way, if everything Chantel is saying is valid.
Posted by bza | March 3, 2007 1:25 PM
Posted on March 3, 2007 13:25
Is there a link to that interview bza? I would like to listen to that.
Posted by Greg Staples | March 3, 2007 4:05 PM
Posted on March 3, 2007 16:05