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Just in time for the cabinet shuffle

We have the latest poll from SES Research.

Conservatives: 36%
Liberals: 33%
New Democrats: 13%
Bloc Quebecois: 10%
Greens: 8%

...On the leadership front, the poll shows Harper has slipped marginally as Canadians' top pick for PM. About 31% of those polled think he'd make the best leader, down slightly from 33% three months ago. Liberal Leader Stephane Dion climbed to 23% from 15%, while Jack Layton dropped one point to 18%.

Comments (14)

Alan:

This is clearly wrong. The CPC can’t possibly still be at 36. They’re divisive and insincere and they kill babies and hampsters and such. We should wait for the SES poll.

Until the Conservative Renaissance Party is up and running, these are the poll numbers for the foreseeable future.

Greg:

That seems about right. Harper has had centre stage for the whole summer and so should have gone up at least a little bit. The fact that the CPC is still at that pesky 36% ceiling though, should be somewhat worrying to his dittoheads.

Sara:

36 - 33 - I hardly think this is anything to get excited about.

Dion climbing is interesting though.

What does this mean - more stupid attack ads? God I hope not.

i noticed that you’ve overlooked the #’s in ontario. dion is up 18 points and ahead of harper by 9%.

but hey, it’s just ontario right?

Jim F:

Sara and her normally useless comments throughout the Canadian political blogosphere: “blah, blah, blah, blah, blah…”

What the heck is your problem Jim F?

Joe:

Jim’s always teasing Sara like that … he is such a kidder ever since he fell for her. They are actually the cutest couple when you see them out together like I did the other night so don’t let that pissy remark fool you.

He worships the ground she walks on but just plays tough for his hockey buds.

Ok, that’s the nicest spin I could come up with … anyone else want to give it a try?

Lighten up everyone … it’s a great day.

ace:

Bourque’s headline reads:

“POLL: TORIES IN THE LEAD AS NDP & GREENS SINK”

wilson61:

Dion’s numbers go up when his handlers hide him from public view.
The invisible man, once back in the house, will again remind people why Dion is not a leader.

Ted:

In the summer of 2005, after taking a beating by Martin in the election and then in the ensuing Parliamentary session (to Harper’s mind it was beating, to the rest of us it showed or should have shown how weak the Liberals were), Harper was down in the dumps and down in the polls and being written off by everyone - everyone, including The Media, stupidly gloating Liberals who missed the point of the narrow election and the embarrassing confidence vote and floor crossings, and even Conservatives.

Then Harper did an interesting thing. He disappeared.

Or seemed to.

We all made fun of his BBQ tour that summer and certainly The Media did, when we weren’t criticizing him for “disappearing” or being hidden by his handlers, that is.

But that summer BBQ circuit, the slow painstaking process of shaking hands and clapping shoulders and actually talking with conservative Canadians, convinced conservative Canadians one by one that Harper was the man and that he knew what he was doing and they could win with him. It also made him a better person and politician who could better connect of everyday Canadians (or use better the language of everyday Canadians to seem so).

And now we may be seeing the same thing happening again. In red.

Dr. Strangelove:

Ted,

While underestimating one’s opponent is a classic political post mortem, I’m with Wilson61 on this. I honestly can’t help but think seeing Dion’s shrill cries about how hard it is to make priorities is about all it’s going to take to remind Canadians about what a dud the Liberals chose.

Hey, don’t underestimate Dion, fellow Tory supporters.

But the PM’s doing a decent job. Not great, not terrible, but all right. Maybe people like things just the way they are…

We underestimate Dion at our own peril. We have him on the ropes, contrary to what the elites tell us, but we should in no way let up the pressure. We did that in 2004, in the final days of the election campaign & the Liberals regrouped, along with stumbles on our part & they came back & clobbered us. We learned from that, which is one of the reasons why we won in 2006. Let’s not forget this.

Dr. Strangelove:

Polls that have not budged from monority territory since the last election are hardly a recipe for over-confidence and complacency.

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