(you'll have to scroll down a few posts to get what bet I am talking about)
as Tom Flanagan says
...Is a majority in the cards? Probably not, but the numbers show it's within the realm of possibility against the backdrop of past election results. A judicious combination of the two historically proven strategies for winning a majority just might put the Conservatives over the top.
Because you have to be an extreme Conservative optimist to think the Conservatives are going to open up a 11.2% lead on the Liberals and/or both the BQ and NDP are going to fade away. Just as the Conservatives stand to gain by a weakened BQ so do the NDP. You may see a severely weakened 4th party but half of that weakening goes to the 3rd party.
