The Ontario election that is, here are the latest poll numbers from Ipsos-Reid.
Liberals: 43%
Progressive Conservatives: 32%
New Democrats: 18%
Greens: 6%
The column points out why this is even worse news for John Tory - this was an election that could have been won by the Tories or at minimum they should have been able to hold the Liberals to a minority. Instead Tory handed the Liberals a club to beat him with and beat him they have. All signs point to the absolute worst case scenario for Tory's leadership, another McGuinty majority.

Comments (4)
Tory did what he had to do. He consolidated the core vote. He’ll get 33-35%, about what Harper got in Ontario in 2006.With that PC’s will take some seats from Liberals.
For Tory to get into government, however, the NDP had to do well at the expense of the Liberals. They didn’t.
So if McGuinty wins a second majority government, blame Hampton.
Posted by orval | October 6, 2007 10:54 AM
Posted on October 6, 2007 10:54
For Tory to get into government, however, the NDP had to do well at the expense of the Liberals. They didn’t.
Indeed. It looks like the NDP is gaining at the expense of the Greens and the Liberals are gaining at the expense of their brother party, the PC’s
Posted by Greg | October 6, 2007 12:50 PM
Posted on October 6, 2007 12:50
I went to the store today and I got hassled by the most aggressive panhandler I’ve ever seen. They guy got right in my face and started yelling at me “Hi How Are You Today Sir!” with his hand out. When I looked straight ahead and tried to walk past him the guy acted like he was gonna follow me into the store and keep on haranguing me to give him something. Luckily some other people came along and he finally left me alone.
I was thinking, geepus cripes, what kind of a low-life loser has to make a living by begging in front of a store? Why doesn’t the store manager come out and tell the guy to beat it? Can’t the government finally do something about aggressive panhandlers?
Then I realized - oh yeah! This is the liquor store. It’s an Ontario government monopoly. The loser in front of the store is the incumbent candidate and he’s part of the government. The manager and the people working in the store owe him their big, fat, unionized salaries. The profits of their monopoly booze racket go right into the pockets of the beggar and his buddies. I was forced to make an extra “donation” at the cash register of a hefty percentage of the cost of the purchase. Which was on top of the “donations” I had to make on my paycheque, my investment income, capital gains, business income, and they took took a huge bite out of my ass at the gas pump when I was on my way to the store.
That’s why you should never give anything to beggers - they start to act like you owe them money and they get more aggressive the longer they get away with it.
Posted by Dear Chumps: | October 6, 2007 5:29 PM
Posted on October 6, 2007 17:29
If the democraticspace numbers on the side of this blog are correct, this represents a loss of almost 4 points for the Liberals from 2003 (46.4% down to 42.8%) and a loss of 8 seats (72 down to 64). PCs stay roughly the same (34.6% in 2003, 33.1% today) but gain 7 seats. And NDP go up only 2 points (from 14.7% to 16.9%) but gain 9 seats.
Religious schools is the concern of 3% of the electorate but of 97% of the media. It’s effect on the election will be minimal. The Liberals loss will be the NDPs gain, but not enough to unseat McGuinty. Tory will get roughly the same vote as Eves but will win more seats because Hampton peeled off some, but not much, of McGuinty’s vote.
If there is a McGuinty majority the big loser will be Hampton. I suspect the NDP will change leaders soon. Maybe Bob Rae will come back??? LOL
Posted by orval | October 7, 2007 1:51 AM
Posted on October 7, 2007 01:51